Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Necas 40.8% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 64.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Cirelli
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Necas
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Necas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Cirelli
Necas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
33.6% (134)
+17.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
50.0% (2)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
50.0% (2)
-6.0%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Necas
Home
50.6% (494)
28.2% (71)
Away
47.6% (441)
40.3% (67)
By Period
Cirelli
Necas
P1
52.3%
33.9%
P2
45.4%
36.4%
P3
49.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
22.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Martin Necas |