Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Kadri 49.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 63.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Cirelli
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cirelli
Kadri
Last 9: Cirelli 5-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Cirelli
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Cirelli
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
50.2% (849)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
50.6% (235)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
43.0% (93)
-5.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kadri
Home
46.7% (478)
48.5% (557)
Away
46.4% (470)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Cirelli
Kadri
P1
46.6%
49.5%
P2
48.6%
51.3%
P3
44.3%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
63.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |