Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Kadri 47.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cirelli
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Cirelli
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.4% (821)
+3.0%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
48.8% (86)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
38.5% (13)
-2.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kadri
Home
54.2% (395)
46.6% (487)
Away
45.0% (509)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Cirelli
Kadri
P1
50.8%
52.7%
P2
50.0%
50.2%
P3
46.6%
40.2%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |