Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Foligno 49.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 51.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Cirelli
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cirelli
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cirelli
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
49.0% (261)
+1.4%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
57.1% (42)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
47.1% (51)
-10.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Foligno
Home
54.2% (395)
48.9% (178)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Cirelli
Foligno
P1
50.8%
40.4%
P2
50.0%
55.8%
P3
46.6%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |