Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Cirelli
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cirelli
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
48.7% (495)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
56.9% (65)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
43.8% (144)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Foligno
Home
46.7% (649)
49.6% (359)
Away
53.5% (643)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Cirelli
Foligno
P1
50.1%
46.7%
P2
51.1%
52.7%
P3
48.5%
46.7%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |