Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Cirelli
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.4% (249)
-2.5%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
53.2% (154)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
40.6% (32)
+3.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Foligno
Home
50.6% (494)
57.3% (225)
Away
47.6% (441)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Cirelli
Foligno
P1
52.3%
53.0%
P2
45.4%
51.8%
P3
49.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |