Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Hischier 51.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 66.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 60.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Cirelli
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Hischier
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Cirelli
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.0% (1,011)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
58.2% (261)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
47.7% (130)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hischier
Home
46.7% (478)
52.8% (665)
Away
46.4% (470)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Cirelli
Hischier
P1
46.6%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
44.3%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
35.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |