Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Hischier 55.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Cirelli
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Cirelli
Hischier
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Cirelli
Hischier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Cirelli
Hischier
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
3
Cirelli
Hischier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
55.8% (1,228)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
62.1% (282)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
47.6% (267)
+1.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hischier
Home
46.7% (649)
56.5% (867)
Away
53.5% (643)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Cirelli
Hischier
P1
50.1%
57.9%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
48.5%
52.7%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |