Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Stastny 54.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 89.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 81.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Cirelli
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Stastny
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
53.6% (859)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
59.9% (202)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
55.1% (78)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stastny
Home
45.4% (469)
56.9% (596)
Away
49.7% (445)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Cirelli
Stastny
P1
46.3%
53.9%
P2
46.3%
56.2%
P3
49.6%
54.4%
OT
46.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |