Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 73.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 77.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Cirelli
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cirelli
Stastny
Last 8: Cirelli 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
6
Cirelli
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
59.2% (370)
-12.8%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
40.9% (44)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
51.7% (58)
-14.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stastny
Home
46.7% (478)
57.7% (215)
Away
46.4% (470)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Cirelli
Stastny
P1
46.6%
57.7%
P2
48.6%
54.2%
P3
44.3%
57.7%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |