Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Cirelli
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Cirelli
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
57.5% (412)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
60.0% (65)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
44.4% (9)
+2.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stastny
Home
52.4% (462)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.1% (369)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Cirelli
Stastny
P1
50.7%
63.7%
P2
49.6%
57.3%
P3
53.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |