Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Fabbri 46.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 68.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.3%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 54.7%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Cirelli
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Fabbri
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
1
2
Cirelli
Fabbri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
43.1% (58)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
25.0% (8)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Fabbri is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Fabbri
Home
45.4% (469)
44.9% (49)
Away
49.7% (445)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Cirelli
Fabbri
P1
46.3%
38.9%
P2
46.3%
51.9%
P3
49.6%
23.8%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |