Scouting Report
Robby Fabbri holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Fabbri 49.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 73.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Cirelli
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cirelli
Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
49.4% (89)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
50.0% (20)
+7.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Fabbri is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Fabbri
Home
46.7% (478)
50.0% (50)
Away
46.4% (470)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Cirelli
Fabbri
P1
46.6%
51.9%
P2
48.6%
51.2%
P3
44.3%
51.5%
OT
44.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |