Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Fabbri 47.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 53.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 60.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cirelli
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
1
Cirelli
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
44.2% (113)
+5.7%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
55.6% (18)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
44.0% (25)
+4.7%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Fabbri is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Fabbri
Home
46.7% (649)
49.2% (61)
Away
53.5% (643)
43.2% (95)
By Period
Cirelli
Fabbri
P1
50.1%
37.7%
P2
51.1%
41.9%
P3
48.5%
54.2%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |