Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Bennett 46.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 67.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 61.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Cirelli
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Cirelli
Bennett
Last 9: Cirelli 3-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Cirelli
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Cirelli
Bennett
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
46.5% (909)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
43.1% (51)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
38.5% (13)
+10.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bennett
Home
46.7% (649)
45.4% (449)
Away
53.5% (643)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Cirelli
Bennett
P1
50.1%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
43.7%
P3
48.5%
45.1%
OT
64.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |