Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Bennett 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Cirelli
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cirelli
Bennett
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Cirelli
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Cirelli
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
46.4% (780)
+4.0%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
57.3% (150)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
47.8% (46)
-11.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bennett
Home
54.2% (395)
50.3% (519)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Cirelli
Bennett
P1
50.8%
47.5%
P2
50.0%
46.6%
P3
46.6%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |