Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 71.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cirelli
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Cirelli
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.3% (158)
-4.9%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
66.7% (36)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
33.6% (110)
+3.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Gagner
Home
46.7% (478)
53.2% (154)
Away
46.4% (470)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Cirelli
Gagner
P1
46.6%
35.6%
P2
48.6%
52.7%
P3
44.3%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |