Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 53.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 63.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Cirelli
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cirelli
Gagner
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Cirelli
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
51.5% (928)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
35.0% (226)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Gagner
Home
49.6% (3,763)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Cirelli
Gagner
P1
49.9%
44.6%
P2
48.8%
46.1%
P3
49.2%
47.3%
OT
51.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 2, 2021 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 1, 2021 | OT | 03:20 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |