Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 70.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 50.5%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Cirelli
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Cirelli
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
44.2% (52)
+6.2%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
33.3% (6)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
40.0% (15)
-3.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Jarvis
Home
54.2% (395)
43.6% (39)
Away
45.0% (509)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Cirelli
Jarvis
P1
50.8%
37.5%
P2
50.0%
48.3%
P3
46.6%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |