Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Mantha wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 41.8% vs Novak 43.0% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Mantha 56.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.8%
Neutral zone
Mantha 53.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (225)
41.8% (1,568)
-2.2%
Power Play
34.0% (47)
51.5% (134)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mantha has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
39.4% (132)
45.1% (831)
Away
38.3% (141)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
46.2%
43.7%
P2
37.1%
42.8%
P3
30.0%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
38.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%