Scouting Report
Anthony Mantha holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 50.4% vs Novak 45.6% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 54.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 67.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
43.8% (384)
+2.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.8% (17)
+16.2%
On power play, Mantha has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
50.0% (8)
46.5% (202)
Away
55.6% (9)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
55.6%
49.2%
P2
75.0%
44.2%
P3
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
52.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.5%