Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 47.7% vs Novak 43.5% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (8)
40.7% (460)
-15.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.5% (39)
-28.2%
On power play, Novak has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
33.3% (6)
47.0% (236)
Away
20.0% (5)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
40.0%
43.1%
P2
0.0%
43.1%
P3
25.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
27.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%