Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 77.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 54.5%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Lundell
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lundell
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
47.5% (421)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
50.3% (336)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
12.5% (8)
+39.6%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tkachuk
Home
45.5% (319)
49.9% (389)
Away
47.7% (260)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Lundell
Tkachuk
P1
50.8%
44.4%
P2
46.5%
51.8%
P3
41.7%
47.8%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |