Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 82.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 58.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Lundell
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundell
Tkachuk
Last 5: Lundell 3-2 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
2
Lundell
Tkachuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Tkachuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
51.0% (194)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
51.7% (151)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
50.0% (2)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tkachuk
Home
51.2% (527)
50.0% (140)
Away
54.8% (496)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Lundell
Tkachuk
P1
53.7%
54.3%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |