Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 73.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.9%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Lundell
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
17
(35 meetings)
18
17
Lundell
Evans
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
11
6
Lundell
Evans
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
6
Lundell
Evans
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
5
Lundell
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
53.8% (3,695)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
60.0% (70)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
47.1% (1,222)
-2.3%
On power play, Evans has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Lundell
Evans
Home
50.7% (2,304)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Lundell
Evans
P1
52.0%
54.0%
P2
51.4%
50.9%
P3
49.0%
52.0%
OT
48.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |