Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Evans 49.8% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Lundell 58.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Lundell
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.3% (739)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
53.3% (15)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
43.0% (172)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Lundell
Evans
Home
46.3% (434)
52.1% (503)
Away
42.4% (314)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Lundell
Evans
P1
46.6%
50.5%
P2
39.9%
47.7%
P3
47.1%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%