Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.9%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Evans 52.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 76.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Lundell
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundell
Evans
Last 5: Lundell 3-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
54.4% (824)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
66.7% (9)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
48.1% (289)
-3.2%
On power play, Evans has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lundell is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Lundell shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Lundell
Evans
Home
51.2% (527)
55.1% (541)
Away
54.8% (496)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Lundell
Evans
P1
53.7%
51.8%
P2
51.7%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
53.8%
OT
20.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |