Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 72.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Lundell
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lundell
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lundell
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lundell
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lundell
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
52.3% (560)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
57.5% (113)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
62.5% (16)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lundell is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lundell shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Lundell
Pavelski
Home
45.5% (319)
54.2% (360)
Away
47.7% (260)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Lundell
Pavelski
P1
50.8%
54.5%
P2
46.5%
56.7%
P3
41.7%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
46.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |