Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 53.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Lundell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lundell
Bonino
Last 5: Lundell 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
48.1% (324)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
57.9% (38)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
44.3% (88)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lundell
Bonino
Home
45.5% (319)
52.0% (244)
Away
47.7% (260)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Lundell
Bonino
P1
50.8%
48.0%
P2
46.5%
42.9%
P3
41.7%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |