Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.0%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 59.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.4%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lundell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lundell
Bonino
Last 9: Lundell 7-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
5
1
Lundell
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
54.1% (972)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Lundell
Bonino
Home
50.7% (2,304)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Lundell
Bonino
P1
52.0%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
48.5%
P3
49.0%
51.1%
OT
48.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |