Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 64.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 88.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 70.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Lundell
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lundell
Stamkos
Last 6: Lundell 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Lundell
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Lundell
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lundell
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
56.1% (342)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
53.3% (92)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
62.5% (8)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Lundell
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (574)
53.4% (208)
Away
52.6% (546)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Lundell
Stamkos
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
55.8%
52.8%
P3
47.1%
59.1%
OT
46.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |