Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 62.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 76.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 68.4%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lundell
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Lundell
Stamkos
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
6
Lundell
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Lundell
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
49.3% (789)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
56.9% (181)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
54.1% (98)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Lundell
Stamkos
Home
46.3% (434)
52.0% (512)
Away
42.4% (314)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Lundell
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
42.1%
P2
39.9%
56.4%
P3
47.1%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |