Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 61.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Lundell
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lundell
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lundell
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Lundell
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
49.3% (670)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
53.7% (121)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
33.3% (3)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lundell is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Lundell shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Lundell
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (527)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.8% (496)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Lundell
Stamkos
P1
53.7%
48.6%
P2
51.7%
54.5%
P3
54.1%
45.4%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |