Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Thompson 41.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 66.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Lundell
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundell
Thompson
Last 5: Lundell 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Lundell
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
40.6% (801)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
44.7% (103)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
31.0% (71)
+1.2%
On power play, Lundell has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Lundell
Thompson
Home
46.3% (434)
43.2% (507)
Away
42.4% (314)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Lundell
Thompson
P1
46.6%
37.7%
P2
39.9%
43.4%
P3
47.1%
39.5%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |