Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Thompson 42.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 27-26 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Lundell
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
27
(53 meetings)
26
27
Lundell
Thompson
Last 10: Lundell 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Lundell
Thompson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
8
6
Lundell
Thompson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
10
13
Lundell
Thompson
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
42.9% (3,521)
+8.2%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
46.8% (372)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
33.6% (265)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Lundell
Thompson
Home
50.7% (2,304)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Lundell
Thompson
P1
52.0%
44.5%
P2
51.4%
43.6%
P3
49.0%
40.2%
OT
48.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |