Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kopitar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 45.3% vs Kopitar 53.9% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 91.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 73.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Tuch
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tuch
Kopitar
Last 5: Tuch 3-2 Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
3
0
Tuch
Kopitar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
0
1
Tuch
Kopitar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
0
1
Tuch
Kopitar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
55.3% (1,295)
-22.0%
Power Play
50.6% (83)
53.5% (271)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.6% (249)
+51.4%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tuch shoots right. Kopitar is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kopitar
Home
40.0% (90)
55.6% (901)
Away
45.3% (75)
52.7% (915)
By Period
Tuch
Kopitar
P1
51.1%
53.3%
P2
40.6%
55.3%
P3
37.3%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
59.4%
Final 5 min
35.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.4%
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |