Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Spezza 55.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 71.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 66.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Kopitar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kopitar
Spezza
Last 9: Kopitar 2-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Kopitar
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kopitar
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Kopitar
Spezza
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
56.1% (795)
-6.9%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
56.9% (211)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
56.3% (190)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kopitar is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Kopitar shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Spezza
Home
50.0% (600)
56.6% (532)
Away
49.8% (560)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Kopitar
Spezza
P1
49.3%
58.8%
P2
53.0%
59.6%
P3
46.9%
50.4%
OT
52.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |