Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.7%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 39-36 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kopitar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
39
(75 meetings)
36
39
Kopitar
Spezza
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
20
Kopitar
Spezza
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
22
11
Kopitar
Spezza
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
8
Kopitar
Spezza
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
54.4% (7,990)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
56.8% (1,726)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
52.7% (643)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Spezza
Home
55.3% (11,643)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Kopitar
Spezza
P1
54.5%
55.7%
P2
54.9%
54.4%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
59.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |