Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Spezza 52.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Kopitar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Spezza
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
3
Kopitar
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kopitar
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
53.7% (451)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
54.3% (92)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
38.2% (34)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Spezza
Home
57.2% (778)
55.0% (282)
Away
56.5% (731)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Kopitar
Spezza
P1
56.3%
53.1%
P2
57.1%
53.2%
P3
57.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |