Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.2%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs Spezza 51.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 61.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Kopitar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Kopitar
Spezza
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Kopitar
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
2
Kopitar
Spezza
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
51.3% (526)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
57.7% (123)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
44.8% (29)
-2.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kopitar is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (620).
Kopitar shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Spezza
Home
55.7% (853)
53.7% (374)
Away
49.6% (840)
50.3% (304)
By Period
Kopitar
Spezza
P1
50.2%
50.2%
P2
54.7%
50.2%
P3
52.7%
56.2%
OT
56.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |