Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Carter 54.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Kopitar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kopitar
Carter
Last 9: Kopitar 6-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Kopitar
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
56.2% (445)
-7.0%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
54.4% (114)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
37.5% (40)
+6.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kopitar is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Kopitar shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carter
Home
50.0% (600)
55.0% (291)
Away
49.8% (560)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Kopitar
Carter
P1
49.3%
57.2%
P2
53.0%
46.6%
P3
46.9%
58.0%
OT
52.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |