Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.0%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Carter 56.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 65.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kopitar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Carter
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Kopitar
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
57.9% (885)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
61.7% (133)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
45.4% (119)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carter
Home
57.2% (778)
58.2% (543)
Away
56.5% (731)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Kopitar
Carter
P1
56.3%
57.5%
P2
57.1%
57.1%
P3
57.0%
55.8%
OT
59.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |