Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Carter 58.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 85.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 61.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Kopitar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kopitar
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kopitar
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kopitar
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
59.7% (727)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
68.1% (72)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
53.2% (139)
-5.6%
On power play, Carter has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carter
Home
56.3% (783)
58.7% (455)
Away
55.5% (825)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Kopitar
Carter
P1
57.9%
61.3%
P2
54.5%
57.1%
P3
55.2%
59.8%
OT
57.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |