Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Carter 50.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 65.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Kopitar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Kopitar
Carter
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
7
Kopitar
Carter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Kopitar
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
6
Kopitar
Carter
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
51.0% (565)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
50.0% (188)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
50.0% (12)
-1.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kopitar is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Kopitar shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carter
Home
52.1% (703)
52.3% (421)
Away
55.5% (715)
49.0% (353)
By Period
Kopitar
Carter
P1
54.9%
55.4%
P2
56.3%
49.1%
P3
49.5%
47.6%
OT
65.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |