Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 89.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 89.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 80.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Kopitar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kopitar
Carlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
3
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
45.5% (661)
+9.4%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
46.3% (82)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
33.3% (84)
+17.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carlsson
Home
56.8% (533)
42.5% (428)
Away
55.3% (535)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Kopitar
Carlsson
P1
55.9%
45.4%
P2
57.1%
39.7%
P3
55.4%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |