Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 87.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 89.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 87.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Kopitar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Kopitar
Carlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
6
Kopitar
Carlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
4
Kopitar
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
2
Kopitar
Carlsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
41.0% (1,844)
+13.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
42.9% (154)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
35.0% (120)
+13.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carlsson
Home
55.3% (11,643)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Kopitar
Carlsson
P1
54.5%
43.3%
P2
54.9%
36.5%
P3
53.9%
43.2%
OT
59.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |