Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 79.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 75.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Kopitar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Kopitar
Carlsson
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Kopitar
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Kopitar
Carlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Carlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
41.8% (648)
+15.1%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
37.3% (51)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
38.7% (31)
+5.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carlsson
Home
58.4% (774)
44.5% (362)
Away
56.0% (763)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Kopitar
Carlsson
P1
59.4%
46.3%
P2
56.8%
35.1%
P3
55.9%
43.9%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |