Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs McTavish 49.0% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 60.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Kopitar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kopitar
McTavish
Last 8: Kopitar 4-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Kopitar
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
47.6% (616)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
57.8% (102)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
33.3% (6)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McTavish
Home
56.8% (533)
52.2% (389)
Away
55.3% (535)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Kopitar
McTavish
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
57.1%
47.9%
P3
55.4%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |