Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs McTavish 51.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 64.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Kopitar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kopitar
McTavish
Last 8: Kopitar 5-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Kopitar
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
51.3% (725)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
55.8% (113)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
28.6% (7)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McTavish
Home
56.1% (786)
52.0% (454)
Away
54.0% (774)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Kopitar
McTavish
P1
56.2%
51.3%
P2
55.4%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |