Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs McTavish 48.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 90.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 78.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kopitar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
16
(39 meetings)
23
16
Kopitar
McTavish
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
6
8
Kopitar
McTavish
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
12
8
Kopitar
McTavish
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
48.2% (2,788)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
52.6% (435)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
34.3% (35)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McTavish
Home
55.3% (11,643)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Kopitar
McTavish
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
54.9%
47.8%
P3
53.9%
48.4%
OT
59.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 04:53 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 04:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |